Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029670 0.031966 0.034368 0.037071 0.040032 0.043180 0.046787
2025-02-16 0.025813 0.029055 0.032628 0.036870 0.041788 0.047331 0.054079
2025-02-23 0.023141 0.026907 0.031222 0.036559 0.043022 0.050644 0.060386
2025-03-02 0.021297 0.025420 0.030293 0.036527 0.044355 0.053947 0.066725
2025-03-09 0.019602 0.023906 0.029130 0.036002 0.044900 0.056166 0.071725
2025-03-16 0.018113 0.022502 0.027951 0.035295 0.045064 0.057797 0.075955
2025-03-23 0.016995 0.021471 0.027141 0.034956 0.045613 0.059883 0.080859
2025-03-30 0.016026 0.020556 0.026402 0.034626 0.046099 0.061852 0.085672
2025-04-06 0.015039 0.019550 0.025468 0.033946 0.046020 0.062976 0.089288
2025-04-13 0.014531 0.019150 0.025313 0.034310 0.047400 0.066223 0.096242
2025-04-20 0.013943 0.018603 0.024917 0.034293 0.048203 0.068647 0.102088
2025-04-27 0.013546 0.018296 0.024830 0.034700 0.049631 0.072067 0.109725
2025-05-04 0.012933 0.017659 0.024249 0.034356 0.049920 0.073779 0.114786
2025-05-11 0.012421 0.017142 0.023812 0.034198 0.050473 0.075925 0.120720
2025-05-18 0.011915 0.016606 0.023319 0.033918 0.050806 0.077721 0.126179
2025-05-25 0.011515 0.016207 0.023004 0.033890 0.051524 0.080171 0.132950
2025-06-01 0.011023 0.015649 0.022424 0.033410 0.051470 0.081315 0.137454
2025-06-08 0.010521 0.015056 0.021763 0.032764 0.051098 0.081879 0.140915
2025-06-15 0.010136 0.014622 0.021326 0.032454 0.051261 0.083362 0.146196
2025-06-22 0.009776 0.014214 0.020909 0.032151 0.051413 0.084824 0.151534
2025-06-29 0.009363 0.013707 0.020317 0.031529 0.050973 0.085187 0.154730
2025-07-06 0.009191 0.013568 0.020301 0.031863 0.052217 0.088675 0.164456
2025-07-13 0.008951 0.013313 0.020086 0.031847 0.052834 0.091035 0.172069